Members of our Ideas Factory share their latest investment thinking through three publications:
‘WorldWatch’ provides timely insight into topical macroeconomic and geopolitical issues from around the world.
‘White Papers’ offer in-depth analysis of the ideas and themes that drive our investments.
'Outlook' is a regular update on how our investment experts see markets and economies.
Who will win?
WorldWatch proposes several potential investment surprises for the year ahead.
With the Fed recently raising rates for the second time this year, we ask whether Emerging Markets are vulnerable to a tightening cycle in the US.
Following the tumultuous geopolitical events of last year, it is reasonable to see 2017 as the beginning of a new stage in the post-crisis world economy, characterised by rising US rates, protectionism and increasing political tension. Likewise, 2017 could mark a new critical phase in disruptive innovation, which continues to transform industries around the world. In this edition of WorldWatch, we assess the potential impact of several particularly powerful disruptive forces.
Donald Trump's surprise victory is a watershed moment that has important ramifications for many of the world’s financial assets. We consider the global impact of Trump’s potential policies, before outlining how we are positioned to exploit the opportunities created by his victory.
Emerging Markets have flattered to deceive in recent times. In a piece that featured in LAPF Investments magazine, we outline why the tide may have finally turned for investors in the asset class.
It is well understood that China’s economy is currently undergoing a great rebalancing as it shifts towards a model of consumption-based growth. However, we believe that many investors fail to grasp the implications of this transformation, which we still see as one of the most powerful and exciting investment themes in the world today. In the piece below, we outline some of the key opportunities that have arisen from China’s ongoing evolution and explain the common mistakes made by investors attempting to profit.
With global economies and markets looking increasingly late-cycle, we look at investment strategies that could perform well in this new environment.
We outline the main reasons for our Indian overweight in both our Asia and EM portfolios.
Corporate debt could be the culprit
With consistent outperformance in the three years since Duncan Robertson took on primary responsibility for TT’s Asia Pacific ex-Japan strategy, we assess the investment opportunities within the asset class and explain how TT’s process seeks to exploit these opportunities.
With valuations becoming ever more stretched, particularly in the US, our Global Equity team argue that prudence is needed for long-term investors and outline the case for investing in high-quality companies at attractive valuations.
Latest International economic and market outlook.
Latest Emerging Markets (Core) economic and market outlook.
Latest Emerging Markets (Unconstrained) economic and market outlook.
Latest Asian economic and market outlook.
Latest Chinese economic and market outlook.
Latest European economic and market outlook.
Latest UK economic and market outlook.