The TT Library
Here you can find all our investment insights in one place. You can also filter our insights according to your areas of interest.
Here you can find all our investment insights in one place. You can also filter our insights according to your areas of interest.
WorldWatch
TT’s surprises for 2018
WorldWatch proposes several potential investment surprises for the year ahead.
White Paper
Benign rate environment to support further equity appreciation
We argue that the
global inflation outlook should remain benign in 2018, allowing central banks
to tighten monetary policy extremely gradually. When combined with a modest
acceleration in global growth, the outlook for equities should remain
attractive, most notably in Asia and Emerging Markets.
WorldWatch
Wages and inflation in Japan: the big freeze
Inflation in Japan has been consistently close to zero over the past 20 years. Given the extreme tightness in the labour market, many argue that wages are due to rise and that inflation will subsequently take off. Our Chief Investment Officer Tim Tacchi does not share this belief and argues in the following paper that labour market tightness in Japan does not necessarily mean rising wages or higher inflation. This is perhaps unsurprising. After all, it is difficult to achieve both reflation and reform at the same time. Reform measures are by their very nature disinflationary as they are intended to improve the productivity of labour and capital. Thankfully, limited wage gains in Japan should mean a benign environment for corporate profitability. Tim’s research was aided by Professor Naohiro Yashiro, Dean of the Global Business Department and Director of the Business Research Institute at Showa Women’s University, Tokyo.
WorldWatch
Are Emerging Markets vulnerable to rising US interest rates?
With the Fed recently raising rates for the second time this year, we ask whether Emerging Markets are vulnerable to a tightening cycle in the US.
WorldWatch
Donald Trump: the good, the bad and the ugly
Donald Trump's surprise victory is a watershed moment that has important ramifications for many of the world’s financial assets. We consider the global impact of Trump’s potential policies, before outlining how we are positioned to exploit the opportunities created by his victory.
White Paper
China and global growth: an uneasy symbiosis
We discuss whether China is becoming less exposed to global growth and trade, before assessing how exposed the rest of the world is to an economic shock in China.
White Paper
Abenomics 2.0: a bigger bazooka
TT discusses what Abenomics Mark Two could mean for Japan’s economy and its equity markets.
WorldWatch
Market turmoil: the price of uncertainty
Global equities have suffered their worst start to a year since the Great Depression, credit markets have seized up, and there has been a rush towards traditional safe havens. Investors seem petrified. But of what? And, crucially, will the market turmoil persist?
WorldWatch
A week in China: soft landing still possible
After a recent research visit, Tim Tacchi explains why a soft landing in China is achievable.
WorldWatch
TT's surprises for 2016
TT's Ideas Factory propose several potential investment surprises for the year ahead.
WorldWatch
US rate rises amid a Chinese slowdown: the Big Bang?
TT discusses whether investors are right to be worried about US rate rises and a Chinese slowdown, and considers which is the bigger risk.
WorldWatch
TT’s surprises for 2015
TT's Ideas Factory propose several potential investment surprises for the year ahead.
White Paper
Dark cloud, silver lining
TT takes a trip around the world to explore where clouds of uncertainty are gathering on the horizon.
WorldWatch
Next year's diary
What happens next? Wouldn’t it be nice to know what events and surprises will end up filling those pristine blank pages in your 2013 diary? Professional forecasters (or ‘futurists’ as they prefer to be known) will tell you that the one thing you should never do with the future is predict it – but here at WorldWatch we know that the temptation to forecast the future is irresistible (and as Oscar Wilde said, the only way to get rid of temptation is to give in to it). It may be that not everything we forecast in our 2013 diary will come to pass, but some of it surely will …
WorldWatch
TT's 2012
The arrival of the New Year diary should always be a moment for reflection. Whatever transpired in the year just past, good or bad, those blank pages for the year to come seem to offer the opportunity for change, for renewal: new people, new places, new ideas. A good thing too, you might say. The last twelve months have been unusually eventful, and many of those events have been ones that one might prefer to forget - in the hope that 2012 is going to be a lot, lot better.
Please take some time to read the disclaimer below.
www.ttint.com (this "Website") (and the information on it) is directed only at persons who are professional clients and eligible counterparties for the purposes of the rules and guidance of the Financial Conduct Authority of the United Kingdom (the "FCA Rules") and at whom this Website (and any information on it) may be lawfully directed in any relevant jurisdiction. Information on this Website must not be relied or acted upon by any other persons. If you have any doubts about your status, you must not access this Website. Please contact your financial adviser if you require any further information on your status. Definitions of ‘professional client’ and ‘eligible counterparty’ can be found in the Glossary of the FCA Rules which can be accessed here: www.fca.org.uk
Please read the Terms & Conditions of Use below carefully. These set out the terms and conditions for accessing this Website.
After you have read and understood these Terms & Conditions of Use, you may click "Accept" to proceed. By doing so, you:
1. confirm that you are permitted to access this Website because you are a professional client or an eligible counterparty for the purposes of the FCA Rules;
2. acknowledge expressly that you have read and understood the Terms & Conditions of Use and agree to abide by them; and
3. confirm that you are accessing this Website in compliance with the laws and regulations of the jurisdiction or country in which you are residing.
If you do not accept these Terms & Conditions of Use and/or you are a retail client for the purposes of the FCA Rules, you are not permitted to access this Website.
TERMS & CONDITIONS OF USE
In these Terms & Conditions of Use (these “Terms”), references to “you” and “your” are references to any person using or accessing (or attempting to use or access) this Website.
1. About TT International
This Website is operated by TT International Asset Management Ltd. and TT International Investment Management LLP (which is a direct subsidiary of TT International Asset Management Ltd.) (collectively, “TT”) and the information on this Website is issued by TT both inside and outside the United Kingdom. TT International Asset Management Ltd. is a private limited company and TT International Investment Management LLP is a limited liability partnership, each having its head office at 62 Threadneedle Street, London EC2R 8HP. TT International Asset Management Ltd. is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority of the United Kingdom (the “FCA”) and appears on the FCA Register with firm reference number 915787. TT International Investment Management LLP is authorised and regulated by the FCA and appears on the FCA Register with firm reference number 599295. TT International Asset Management Ltd. is registered as an Investment Adviser with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). TT International (Hong Kong) Limited, which is a direct subsidiary of TT International Asset Management Ltd., is licensed by the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) to provide services to "professional investors" defined in the Securities and Futures Ordinance and its subsidiary legislation.
2. About this Website
This Website is broadly separated into two areas:
(i) a general area which carries information about TT and investment strategies managed by TT as well as documentation that is specific to funds which are authorised in accordance with European Directive 2009/65/EC and offered by TT (the UCITS Funds).In these Terms, this area is referred to as the “General Area”; and
(ii) a restricted private area which contains specific information about both unregulated alternative funds and the UCITS funds, offered by TT (together, the “Funds”). In these Terms, this area is referred to as the “Private Area”.
In order to access the General Area, you must first confirm (i) that you are a professional client or an eligible counterparty for the purposes of the FCA Rules, (ii) your acceptance of these Terms, and (iii) that you are accessing this Website in compliance with the laws and regulations of the jurisdiction or country in which you are residing.
Once you have accessed the General Area, you may then register to access information in the Private Area. To do so, you must first provide certain information to allow TT to assess your eligibility to access information about the Funds. Users who TT considers, in its absolute discretion, eligible to receive access to the Private Area will be provided with a username and password in accordance with Clause 11 of these Terms. No persons other than those who have been provided with a username and password by TT should attempt to gain access to the Private Area.
3. Investment Information
The distribution of the information contained on this Website in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law and persons who access it are required to inform themselves of, and to comply with, any such restrictions.
This Website, and the information contained on it, is directed only at persons in any jurisdiction or country where such access to, and use of, the information contained on this Website is not contrary to local law or regulation. The Funds referred to on this Website are not available, and prospectuses and other offering materials in respect of them will not be distributed, to any person resident in the territory of any jurisdiction where such distribution would be contrary to local law or regulation.
The information on this Website does not constitute an offer or solicitation in any jurisdiction in which such an offer or solicitation is not authorised or to any person to whom it is unlawful to make such an offer or solicitation. Prospective investors in the Funds should inform themselves as to applicable legal and regulatory requirements (including in relation to exchange controls and taxation) in the countries of their citizenship, residence or domicile. TT and its partners and directors (as applicable) disclaim all responsibility if you access or download any information from this Website in breach of any law or regulation of the jurisdiction or country of which you are a citizen or in which you are residing or domiciled.
The terms of investment in any Fund are governed by the documents establishing such terms. In the event of any inconsistency between the information on this Website and the terms specified in, or established pursuant to, the documents establishing the terms of issue or contract, the terms so specified or determined shall prevail. An application for shares or interests in any of the Funds should only be made having read fully the relevant prospectus and other offering information for the relevant Fund. It is your responsibility to use such documentation and by making an application you will be deemed to represent that you have read such applicable documentation and agree to be bound by its contents.
Information available on this Website may constitute a financial promotion for the purposes of the FCA Rules.
4. Accuracy of Information
The information contained on this Website (including any expression of opinion or forecast) has been obtained from, or is based on, sources believed by TT to be reliable, but is not guaranteed or warranted as to its current validity, accuracy or completeness. Such information is provided without obligation on the part of TT, its partners and directors (as applicable) or employees, and on the understanding that any person who acts upon it or changes his investment position in reliance on it does so entirely at his own risk.
Opinions expressed represent the opinions of TT at the date of publication only, reflecting prevailing market conditions and certain assumptions (which may not prove to be valid), and are subject to change.
Information posted on this Website is current only as at the date it is first posted and may no longer be true or complete when viewed by you. All information contained on this Website may be changed or amended without prior notice.
5. Material Interests
TT, its directors and/or its employees may have holdings in the Funds and may otherwise be interested in transactions that you effect in those Funds.
6. No Advice
This Website is published solely for informational purposes on the basis that you make your own investment decisions. This Website has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any person.
The information contained on this Website is not intended to constitute, and should not be construed as, a personal recommendation or investment advice.
Potential investors in the Funds should seek their own independent financial advice. TT neither provides investment advice to, nor receives and transmits orders from, investors in the Funds nor does it carry on any other activities with or for such investors that constitute "MiFID or equivalent third country business" for the purposes of the FCA Rules.
7. Risk Factors
Investment in the Funds and other investments referred to on this Website involves risk. The value of investments and the income deriving from them may go down as well as up. You may not get back the original amount invested and may lose all of your investment.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
To the extent that this Website contains any indications as to future performance, such forecasts are not a reliable indicator of future performance.
Exchange rates may cause the value of overseas investments and the income deriving from them to rise and fall. Tax assumptions may change if the law changes and the tax treatment applicable to you will depend on your individual circumstances and may be subject to change in the future. You should consult your own tax adviser in order to understand the tax consequences of an investment in a Fund.
The risk factors set out above are not complete and you must refer to the relevant offering documents with respect to the risks attaching to investment in individual Funds.
8. UCITS Funds
The UCITS Funds may be registered or otherwise approved for distribution to the public in one or more European jurisdictions. The fact of such a registration or approval, however, does not mean that any regulator has determined that such UCITS Fund is suitable for all investors. Investors should continue to consider the terms of investment in any such UCITS Fund carefully and seek professional investment advice before taking any decision to invest in a UCITS Fund.
Where this Website refers to a UCITS Fund, this Website will also provide details of where and in which languages the prospectus and key investor information document, as they may be amended from time to time, may be obtained or how such documents may be accessed.
The distribution of shares of a UCITS Fund in Switzerland will be exclusively made to, and directed at, qualified investors (the "Qualified Investors"), as defined in the Swiss Collective Investment Schemes Act of 23 June 2006, as amended ("CISA") and its implementing ordinance.
9. US Persons
The Funds are not offered or sold to the public in the United States.
TT will provide access to the Private Area to “U.S. persons”, as defined in Regulation S under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended, only if permitted to do so under U.S. federal and state securities laws.
TT will provide access to the Private Area to persons that are not “Non-United States persons” as defined in Rule 4.7 of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission only if permitted to do so by the rules of the Commission.
In order to obtain access to the Private Area, “U.S. persons” and persons that are not “Non-United States persons”, each as so defined, will be required to provide TT with written assurances for purposes of compliance with U.S. law. For additional information, please contact TT according to the procedure specified in Clause 19 of these Terms.
10. Your Use of this Website
You must NOT use this Website (or permit or procure others to use it) as follows:
10.1 if you are a retail client for the purposes of the FCA Rules and/or it is otherwise unlawful for you to access the information on this Website;
10.2 for any unlawful, improper or illegal purpose or activity;
10.3 to communicate or receive information that is obscene, indecent, pornographic, sadistic, cruel, or racist in content, of a sexually explicit or graphic nature, which promotes or incites discrimination, hatred or racism or which might be legally actionable for any reason;
10.4 in a manner intended to threaten, harass, or intimidate;
10.5 to violate TT’s or any third party's copyright, trademark, proprietary or other intellectual property rights;
10.6 to impersonate any of TT’s partners and directors (as applicable), employees or other person or use a false name while using this Website or implying an association with TT;
10.7 to penetrate TT’s security measures or other entities' systems ("hacking");
10.8 to generate excessive amounts of internet traffic, to interfere with TT’s network or other’s use of this Website or to engage in activities designed to or having the effect of degrading or denying service to users of this Website or others; and/or
10.9 to introduce viruses, worms, harmful codes and/or Trojan horses onto the internet or into this Website or any other entity’s systems and it is your responsibility to ensure that whatever you download or select for your use from this Website is free from such items.
When using this Website, you must comply with all applicable local, national and international laws and regulations, including those related to data privacy, international communications and exportation of technical or personal data. It may be illegal to download the information contained on this Website in certain countries and TT, its partners, employees, associates and affiliates disclaim all responsibility if you download any information from this Website in breach of any law or regulation of the country in which you reside.
11. User Identification Code
In order to access the Private Area, you must first apply for a username and password through this Website.
TT may contact you in connection with your application to access the Private Area as part of the process of establishing your eligibility to access that part of this Website. You are responsible for ensuring that any information that you provide to TT as part of the eligibility check is accurate and kept up to date at all times. Any changes to the information provided to TT must be notified to TT immediately.
To the extent that you are provided with a username and password in order to access the Private Area, you:
(A) shall be solely responsible for the use of the Private Area accessed through your username and password;
(B) must treat this information as confidential and you must not disclose it to any third party or allow any third party to access this Website using your username and/or password;
(C) authorise TT to assume that any person using this Website with your username and password is you; and
(D) agree to notify TT immediately if you suspect unauthorised use of this Website or of your username and/or password.
TT may revoke access to the Private Area in its absolute discretion at any time without notice.
12. Termination and Suspension of Access to this Website
TT reserves the right to deny you access to this Website, or immediately to suspend or terminate your access to this Website, or to disable any username or password (whether chosen by you or allocated by us) at any time if your use of this Website (in the sole discretion of TT) in any manner breaches these Terms or for any other reason.
13. Intellectual Property Rights
The entire contents of this Website are subject to copyright with all rights reserved. You may download or print individual sections of this Website for your personal use and information only provided that you retain all copyright and other proprietary notices. You may not reproduce (in whole or in part), transmit (by electronic means or otherwise), modify, link into or use for any public or commercial purpose this Website without the prior written permission of TT. Nothing on this Website should be construed as granting any licence or right in relation to any of the trademarks of TT or those of its associates or affiliates or any third party.
14. Linked Websites
This Website may be linked to third party websites or contain information provided by third parties. Neither TT nor its partners or employees make any representation as to the accuracy or completeness of such websites or information. TT has not and will not review or update such websites or information and cautions you that any use made of such websites or information is at your own risk. TT and its partners and directors (as applicable) and employees do not accept any liability arising out of the information contained on any linked website or information on this Website provided by a third party and the use of such sites and information is at your own risk.
15. Liability for Use of this Website
Access to this Website is permitted on a temporary basis and TT reserves the right to withdraw or amend the service provided on this Website without notice. TT and its partners and directors (as applicable) and employees do not accept any liability if, for any reason, this Website is unavailable at any time or for any period.
No representation, warranty or undertaking is given as to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained on this Website by TT, its partners and directors (as applicable), employees or any of its associates or affiliates and no liability is accepted by such persons for the accuracy or completeness of such information. In no event will TT, its partners and directors (as applicable), employees or any of its associates or affiliates be liable to any person (including, for the avoidance of doubt, persons who are accessing this Website in compliance with these Terms and those who are not as well as any persons who may be informed of the contents of this Website) for any direct, indirect, special or consequential damages arising out of any use of the information contained on this Website, or on any other hyper-linked site, including, without limitation, any lost profits, business interruption, loss of programs or data on your equipment, or otherwise, even if TT is expressly advised of the possibility or likelihood of such damages.
The information, except as otherwise stated, on this Website has been prepared, approved and issued by TT and the information and opinions contained on this Website have been compiled, or arrived at, in good faith and on the basis of publicly available information, internally developed data and sources believed to be reliable as at the date of publication. However, to the extent permitted by law, TT, its partners and directors (as applicable), employees, associates and affiliates hereby expressly exclude all conditions, warranties, representations and other terms which might otherwise be implied by statute, common law or the law of equity and any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss or damage of any kind incurred by any user in connection with this Website or in reliance on the information or opinions contained on it, or in connection with the use, inability to use, or results of the use of this Website or any websites linked to it or materials posted on it. This does not affect the liability of any person for any loss or damage which cannot be excluded or limited under applicable law.
The internet is not a completely reliable transmission medium and neither TT, its partners and directors (as applicable), employees or any of its affiliates or associates accepts any liability for any data transmission errors such as data loss or damage or alteration of any kind or for the security or confidentiality of information transmitted across the internet to or from TT or any of its associates or affiliates. Any such transmission of information is entirely at your own risk.
Nothing in these Terms is intended to exclude or restrict any duty or liability that (i) TT has to its customers under the "regulatory system" in the United Kingdom (as such term is defined in the FCA Rules); (ii) may arise under U.S. federal or state securities laws; or (iii) otherwise may not be excluded or restricted as a matter of applicable law.
16. Cookies
TT takes the privacy of any personal information you may provide to it through this Website seriously. A "cookie" is a piece of information that is saved to your computer's hard disk by the web server. Cookies do not contain any personal information about you and cannot be used to identify any individual user. Confirmation of reading and accepting these Terms will place a cookie on your computer's hard disk. This will facilitate your navigation of this Website by not showing these Terms again during this browser session. It will also allow TT to record your visit and may be used to evaluate users’ use of this Website and to compile statistical reports on Website activity for TT. This cookie will remain on your computer unless it is removed or you set your browser not to accept cookies, however, if you do this, you may not be able to use the full range of services available on this Website. To find out more about cookies including how to control and delete them visit www.aboutcookies.org.
17. Data Protection and Privacy
TT collects certain personal information about you such as your name, address, telephone number, email address details and other information when it is voluntarily submitted to TT on this Website, including in connection with its registration procedures for access to the Private Area. TT uses this information to ensure compliance with its obligations under the UK regulatory regime, the General Data Protection Regulation, any other relevant data privacy regulations and for its own internal purposes.
Please note that by submitting personal information you are consenting to such information being processed for the purposes referred to above. You also agree that TT has the right to use and store such data on its internal systems and to transfer it to its associates and affiliates, whether inside or outside the European Union, for the purpose of providing services to you. You should also be aware that the level of protection in relation to the processing of personal data may not be the same in countries outside the European Union as in the United Kingdom. For more information on how TT will use your personal information, please see the relevant Privacy Notice found here.
18. Law and Variation
This Website is established in England by TT in accordance with, and these Terms and any non-contractual obligations arising from or connected with them shall be governed by, English law and these Terms shall be construed in accordance with English law. A condition of using this Website is that in the event of any dispute or proceeding you irrevocably submit to the exclusive jurisdiction of the English Courts and waive any objection to proceedings in such courts on the grounds of venue or on the grounds that the proceedings have been brought in an inconvenient forum.
TT may revise these Terms at any time and the current version of these Terms may be viewed at any time through this Website, please see the Legal Notice. You are expected to review these Terms from time to time to take notice of any changes TT makes, as they are binding on you. If any provision of these Terms is held by any court or competent authority to be illegal, void, invalid or unenforceable under the laws of any jurisdiction, the legality, validity and enforceability of the remainder of these Terms in that jurisdiction shall not be affected and the legality, validity and enforceability of the whole of these Terms in any other jurisdictions shall not be affected.
Each time you use this Website, a condition of use is that you comply with these Terms.
19. Contact Us
You can contact TT at: T: +44 20 7509 1000, F: +44 20 7509 1289, or by email to info@ttint.com.
TT International Asset Management Ltd.
TT
International Investment Management LLP
62 Threadneedle Street, London, EC2R 8HP, England
© 2020 TT International
Authorised and regulated in the UK by the Financial Conduct Authority